Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027367 0.029773 0.032291 0.035126 0.038229 0.041526 0.045294
2025-07-13 0.023322 0.026767 0.030584 0.035134 0.040418 0.046372 0.053604
2025-07-20 0.020769 0.024797 0.029453 0.035244 0.042274 0.050559 0.061097
2025-07-27 0.018972 0.023389 0.028670 0.035472 0.044037 0.054507 0.068347
2025-08-03 0.017340 0.021965 0.027657 0.035211 0.045023 0.057408 0.074330
2025-08-10 0.016254 0.021096 0.027211 0.035547 0.046685 0.061153 0.081530
2025-08-17 0.015013 0.019909 0.026236 0.035071 0.047177 0.063315 0.086672
2025-08-24 0.013889 0.018783 0.025243 0.034462 0.047391 0.065041 0.091241
2025-08-31 0.013005 0.017913 0.024520 0.034144 0.047939 0.067200 0.096483
2025-09-07 0.012238 0.017148 0.023881 0.033879 0.048508 0.069373 0.101821
2025-09-14 0.011581 0.016492 0.023344 0.033709 0.049173 0.071681 0.107452
2025-09-21 0.010920 0.015788 0.022693 0.033319 0.049467 0.073424 0.112287
2025-09-28 0.010454 0.015365 0.022455 0.033572 0.050810 0.076926 0.120258
2025-10-05 0.009949 0.014858 0.022068 0.033582 0.051789 0.079945 0.127708
2025-10-12 0.009512 0.014425 0.021762 0.033687 0.052906 0.083225 0.135779
2025-10-19 0.009139 0.014066 0.021544 0.033905 0.054198 0.086839 0.144620
2025-10-26 0.008687 0.013555 0.021056 0.033656 0.054701 0.089173 0.151421
2025-11-02 0.008397 0.013285 0.020929 0.033976 0.056150 0.093144 0.161298
2025-11-09 0.007962 0.012757 0.020358 0.033523 0.056257 0.094831 0.167222
2025-11-16 0.007533 0.012215 0.019734 0.032942 0.056101 0.096037 0.172330
2025-11-23 0.007189 0.011796 0.019291 0.032640 0.056403 0.098046 0.179021
2025-11-30 0.006878 0.011416 0.018892 0.032387 0.056770 0.100177 0.186063
2025-12-07 0.006603 0.011083 0.018556 0.032225 0.057282 0.102587 0.193779